Man Utd vs Arsenal in the FA Cup – Preview and Odds

 Match Previews  Comments Off on Man Utd vs Arsenal in the FA Cup – Preview and Odds
Mar 122011
 

The result today is not just about the FA Cup. Success today will lift the players’ spirits, and show that we can beat United in their own back yard, and catch them up in the race to the Premiership title. Not having a replay would also give our title campaign a boost, while other teams in the League will take heart that ManUre can be beated, even at home.

Draw, and our confidence will still be lifted. We’ll show ourselves, and other teams in the top flight that United aren’t invincible at home. We’ll have the upper hand in the tie, and we’ll face West Brom next week with renewed optimism and determination to beat anyone.

Lose, and I would be concerned for the rest of our season. That would mean we’d have gone out of three cups in a fortnight. ManUre would still be difficult to beat in our minds, and their Premiership campaign would be given a boost, not ours.

So which will happen. I’m not full of confidence in a win, as much as I’d like us to thrash them, and see Ferguson’s face turn into a chewing beetroot. A feel a draw may well be on the cards. It seems obligatory for us to have cup replays this season.

We have to consider that a wounded ManUre is a dangerous, smelly beast. Having been not so much beaten as humiliated by Liverpool and given the league’s chasing pack a boost, I imagine a strong response from them in a competition that means much to the red-faced Scot. They haven’t won it since 2004. We’ve even won it since then, in 2005.

In terms of who starts for us, we’ll be without our captain Fabregas, Alex Song and Theo Walcott. Szczesny will be out for about six weeks, so James Shea will understudy Almunia, while the hunt for an emergency keeper goes on. I have concerns about the midfield, and if Rosicky starts then it’s crucial he has a good game. Diaby played well against Barcelona and I espect him to continue in Song’s absence.

So I expect:

Almunia; Clichy – Koscielny – Djourou – Sagna; Wilshere – Rosicky – Diaby; Arshavin – v Persie – Nasri

Odds

The bookies have the home team as firm favourites at odds only slightly better than Evens. We’re 11/4 with most bookies, which has got a few Arsenally pennies. In terms of correct score, I think the game will be close and the scoreline will reflect that. We’re 12/1 for 2-1 and 40/1 for 3-2 with Coral. The half-time/full time split gives good value on the comeback, with ManUre/Arsenal 39/1 with Unibet. I might go for a line on 2-1 with the half time/full time split as above. I’ll update you when I discover what odds I can get on that.

As for goalscorers, I’m down for Nasri to score first, widely available at 9s. We’ve been fairly effective from set-pieces; Djourou is available at 20/1 with Bet365.

Let’s book our place in the semi-finals. Let’s stay in one cup this fortnight. Let’s regain our confidence and beat the league leaders. Let’s take this season by the scruff of the neck before it threatens to run away from us.

COME ON YOU GOONERS!!!!!

Arsenally Yours,

Will

Barcelona vs Arsenal Preview and Odds

 Match Previews  Comments Off on Barcelona vs Arsenal Preview and Odds
Mar 072011
 

Well folks, it’s the big one. The league may be our bread and butter, but for the last 7 seasons we’ve enjoyed the chocolate pudding that is the knockout stages of the Champions League. And tomorrow night, as if I have to remind any of you (!), we take a 2-1 lead to the Camp Nou.

The big news is that Robin van Persie and Cesc Fabregas will be in the squad at least for the game. I suspect that the captain will start, but that we’ll see the Dutchman start the game from the bench. For all AW’s assertions that “I am very bad at mind games”, whether our in-form striker will start will give Guardiola something to think about.

It will certainly be a great game for the neutral, with Barcelona needing to score, but whether it’ll be a good game for the gooner depends very much on our use of the ball, if and when the Catalunians decide to give it to us.

We simply cannot afford to gift possession back to them. But if we play to our potential, we certainly will have chances at their end. With Puyol and Cesc’s mate Pique out, they’ll have Abidal and Busquets at centre half, by all accounts. That could give us an edge. If they’re not used to their positioning, we may even get a few half-chances. We must take them.

For me, whether we take our chances or not depends on whether v Persie is on the pitch. I don’t want to rant about our other strikers lack of form here, but suffice it to say I think it’s crucial for our chances that he at least gets on the pitch at some point.

One thing scares me, and it’s not just their little Argentinian. Just one goal from Barça means that they go through. Just one.

As was noted below in the comments, we haven’t had the rub of the green recently, at least from the referee. With a bit of luck, some good passing, and a chance taken, who knows what can happen? A good defensive performance coupled will exorcise the ghost of the Carling Cup Final. A win, and the spectre of the 2006 CL Final will vanish into thin air.

Who starts? Will AW go with Denilson or Diaby in Song’s place. Whoever starts needs to put in a massive shift. I’d like to see the Frenchman get the nod. He can be excellent when he’s on his game. Let’s hope he’s up for it.

So I’m expecting:

Szczesny; Clichy – Koscielny – Djourou – Sagna; Diaby – Wilshere – Fabregas; Nasri – Bendtner/v Persie – Arshavin

Odds
It’s hard to find decent odds on an Arsenal victory, but seeing 8/1 on us coming up trumps got some of my hard-earned straight away in my local Coral. The Half Time/Full Time choice of Barcelona/Arsenal is a ridiculously tempting 69/1 with Unibet, which got a few pennies. They also have Arsenal 5 Barcelona 3 at a frankly ludicrous 999/1. But not even I’d throw money away like that!

Back on this planet, first goalscorer gives me a bit of a conundrum. I’d go for v Persie, but he’s not even on the bookies’ list which worries me. Theo’s on there, but no Robin. Hmm. The 7th player down the list is Nicklas Bendter at 12/1 with BlueSq. If he does score, I’ll never moan about him.

As Simon noted in his comment after the Sunderland non-result, we’ve hardly had the best luck when it comes to refereeing decisions. We do need a good slice of luck tomorrow, but with graft, desire, and a bit of footballing magic we could do the unthinkable and beat them in their own back yard. We’ve done it to Real and to both Milan clubs – let’s add the Barcelona to that list.

COME ON YOU GOONERS!!!!!!!!!!!

Arsenally on the edge of my seat already,

Will

Orient Preview & Odds (injury nightmare)

 Match Reviews  Comments Off on Orient Preview & Odds (injury nightmare)
Mar 012011
 

Chelski’s win against the Premiership leaders tonight puts us right back in the title race. But before league hostilities are resumed, we’ve got smaller fish to fry in the shape of Leyton Orient. Win, and then we can fry the massive dogfish that is ManUre in the FA Cup as well as the league. Bring it on!

The curse of the dodgy internet connection struck again so apologies for the lack of a review to the Carling Cup Final, but then again, it would have been a meaningless drunken rant if I’d done it on Sunday night. I tried last night but to no avail. Here’s what I would have said in a nutshell:

We didn’t play all that badly, apart from Rosicky and Bendtner.
I hate all Brummies
If in doubt, kick it out. When did that stop being taught at school?
Why didn’t we play Nasri in midfield?
Here’s hoping that Koscielny and the rest of the squad can rise like a phoenix from the ashes of our Carling Cup Campaign and destroy all opponents for the rest of time the season this week.

Our first opponent is Leyton Orient, whom we must beat to set up a juicy tie against ManUre in the FA Cup. I hope – against bitter experience – that this set-back is only temporary and we beat them by a few goals, as we should.

But first, more bad news. v Persie is out for “a minimum of 3 weeks” after a scan on his knee revealed it to be made of cheese bad news.  Obviously he’ll miss more than just the Barcelona game, but that’s where we’ll miss him the most. Fabregas may well be back for the Camp Nou but only just. To miss both of them would be two huge nails in the coffin of the CL tie. With Fabregas? Maybe, just maybe. But let’s think about that nearer the time

Also missing the Orient game are Song and Koscielny. Fantastic. We may be wounded animal ready to pounce, but we’ll be missing the spine of the team. Diaby wasn’t even in the squad for Wembley but will surely play against the O’s. Up front we’ll have a couple of strikers who couldn’t hit a barn door with a banjo, score in a brothel, etc etc ad nauseam.

I feel able to make light of the injury / poor finishing situation because it’s only a League 1 side we face tomorrow night, but in all truth, I’m a little bit scared. Chamakh has hardly played since the start of the season, and the odd thing is, there’s no good reason why. Any ideas, Arsenally-intrigued readers? Bendtner’s current form is pretty poor to be honest. The only players who have been playing well and who will face Orient are Wilshere and Djourou. And I wouldn’t be surprised if the young Englishman is rested, as he’s been playing twice a week for a while now.

We may well see one or both of Gibbs and Eboue at left/right back. I’d like to see more of Gibbs, partly because I believe he’s got a real future, but also partly because Clichy still has his moments of serious defensive retardation.

So I expect:

Almunia; Sagna – Squillaci – Djourou – Clichy; Diaby – Denilson/Wilshere – Rosicky; Nasri – Chamakh – Bendtner

Odds

As for the odds, I’m torn between hopeless pessimism and ridiculous optimism. Then I remember the injury list and it’s pessimism all the way. But I’ll never back anyone but the Arsenal so there you go.

There’s no value in the 1/5 generally offered for a home win, so I’m going for 33/1 with Ladbrokes on Orient ahead at the interval and Arsenal up at the end. The optimist in me put a few pennies on 4-0 with Unibet at an attractive 23/2. “We’ll score one or two, then Orient will have to come forward and we’ll score more,” he said. Possibly.

Denilson is an interesting 20/1 with Ladbrokes to score first, though that only gets some Arsenally small change, while Arshavin is my main tip for first goalscorer at 9/2 with BlueSq.

I can’t bear any more of the relentless p*ss-taking I’ve encountered at work so please, please Arsenal, let’s beat the O’s. Then we can wipe the smile off the faces of all those ManUre fans at Old Trafford.

Come on the Arsenal!!!!!

Arsenally Yours

Will